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Red4
22400.7
11582.4
13770.2
Blue0
13570.6
29960.5
15830.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310234567840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.40.1
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1357
#20
0.60.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2240
#12
0.70.1
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2996
#32
0.50.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1377
#30
0.20.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
0.20.1
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End