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Red1
4430.6
19770.2
14100.5
Blue2
13610.4
22610.9
16910.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1102468101212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
443
#28
0.60.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2261
#25
0.90.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1410
#22
0.50.0
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1691
#14
0.70.1
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1977
#37
0.20.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
0.40.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End