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Red2
1590.7
28590.3
16192.0
Blue3
11570.3
13391.3
13030.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.00.0
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1339
#31
1.30.1
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
159
#15
0.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1303
#38
0.30.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2859
#18
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1157
#11
0.30.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End