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Qual 232010 Colorado Regional
Red2
22400.7
22610.9
19770.2
Blue11
11582.4
12450.6
15841.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130246810211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2261
#25
0.90.0
0.8→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.5
1158
#2
2.40.5
1.8→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2240
#12
0.70.0
0.6→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
1584
#21
1.50.7
0.4→1.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1977
#37
0.20.0
0.3→0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.4
1245
#19
0.60.7
0.7→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—