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Red4
29960.5
31980.1
6620.9
Blue1
22590.1
28590.3
13320.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12046841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#8
0.90.3
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1332
#40
0.60.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2996
#32
0.50.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2859
#18
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3198
#41
0.10.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2259
#29
0.10.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End