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Red1
13320.6
33330.5
4430.6
Blue2
13391.3
22610.9
2250-0.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1332
#40
0.60.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1339
#31
1.30.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
443
#28
0.60.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2261
#25
0.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3333
#10
0.50.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2250
#36
-0.20.0
0.0-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End