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Red1
12450.6
1789-0.1
22610.9
Blue3
32000.6
13570.6
18170.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21024681013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2261
#25
0.90.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1817
#23
0.80.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1245
#19
0.60.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3200
#24
0.60.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1789
#35
-0.10.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1357
#20
0.60.1
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End