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Red1
13610.4
29960.5
22400.7
Blue0
2250-0.2
13030.3
1590.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1102345610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#12
0.70.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
159
#15
0.70.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2996
#32
0.50.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1303
#38
0.30.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2250
#36
-0.20.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End