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Red3
29450.9
22610.9
32000.6
Blue0
13030.3
13770.2
15830.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1023456730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2261
#25
0.90.2
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1303
#38
0.30.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2945
#33
0.90.2
-0.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
0.20.0
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3200
#24
0.60.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1377
#30
0.20.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End