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Red3
13570.6
15841.5
16910.7
Blue1
29960.5
13480.6
22590.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210468101231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1584
#21
1.50.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1348
#16
0.60.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1691
#14
0.70.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2996
#32
0.50.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1357
#20
0.60.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2259
#29
0.10.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End