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Red4
13030.3
13480.6
29450.9
Blue0
12450.6
31980.1
29720.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110123456740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#33
0.90.3
0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1245
#19
0.60.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1348
#16
0.60.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3198
#41
0.10.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1303
#38
0.30.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2972
#39
0.00.1
0.0-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End