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Red3
19770.2
15924.2
3991.6
Blue6
15841.5
15402.6
20362.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions750246810121436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4.20.1
4.34.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2.60.0
2.32.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
399
#5
1.60.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2036
#13
2.00.0
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1977
#37
0.20.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1584
#21
1.50.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End