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Red7
22400.7
11582.4
16192.0
Blue2
16910.7
13320.6
29450.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51046810121472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.40.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2945
#33
0.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.00.1
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1691
#14
0.70.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2240
#12
0.70.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1332
#40
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End