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Red4
1781.2
19910.5
31251.4
Blue1
31820.0
31410.5
1951.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33012345641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3125
#32
1.40.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
195
#33
1.60.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
178
#24
1.20.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3141
#45
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1991
#53
0.50.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3182
#48
0.00.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End