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Red4
10271.2
10732.7
1022.1
Blue5
15013.1
5330.8
2700.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions630281012141645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#15
2.70.1
2.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3.10.1
3.03.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
102
#35
2.10.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
533
#44
0.80.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1027
#40
1.20.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
270
#38
0.50.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End