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Red3
28363.5
8091.1
2700.5
Blue4
21701.4
2371.5
6942.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44026810121434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.50.0
2.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
694
#5
2.40.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
809
#34
1.10.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
237
#12
1.50.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
270
#38
0.50.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2170
#17
1.40.0
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End