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Red2
31040.0
1731.1
2371.5
Blue10
31251.4
3033.4
1951.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2504681012210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#12
1.50.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
303
#9
3.40.3
2.62.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
#42
1.10.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
195
#33
1.60.3
1.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3104
#50
0.00.1
0.0-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3125
#32
1.40.3
1.01.3
Auto
Teleop
End