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Red3
28620.4
1760.9
2383.0
Blue0
5330.8
31040.0
20670.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512468101230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#23
3.00.1
2.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
533
#44
0.80.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
#55
0.90.1
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2067
#54
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2862
#56
0.40.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3104
#50
0.00.1
-0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End