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Red11
16650.8
28363.5
11242.6
Blue8
1951.6
611.7
1022.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5502468101214118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.50.3
2.93.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
102
#35
2.10.1
1.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.60.3
1.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
61
#20
1.70.1
2.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1665
#36
0.80.5
0.00.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
195
#33
1.60.1
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End