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Red2
31040.0
7160.5
1781.2
Blue4
16650.8
9991.2
2371.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130468101224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#24
1.20.0
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
237
#12
1.50.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
#29
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
999
#22
1.20.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3104
#50
0.00.0
-0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1665
#36
0.80.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End