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Red4
13062.5
17471.5
2231.0
Blue3
28651.2
26481.4
3401.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54026810121443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.50.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2648
#86
1.40.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1747
#52
1.50.0
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2865
#84
1.20.1
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
223
#67
1.00.0
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
340
#79
1.10.1
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End