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Red3
19801.4
21692.2
2231.0
Blue4
9311.9
25572.8
2960.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55024681034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#17
2.20.1
2.32.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2557
#24
2.80.0
2.72.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1980
#83
1.40.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
931
#34
1.90.0
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
223
#67
1.00.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
296
#82
0.20.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End