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Red5
2371.5
19122.7
5372.7
Blue10
12511.8
29922.4
15113.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77246101214510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#27
2.70.1
2.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1511
#10
3.80.1
3.63.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
537
#40
2.70.1
2.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2992
#12
2.40.1
2.32.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
237
#43
1.50.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1251
#42
1.80.1
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End