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Qual 1382010 Curie Division
Red10
20412.8
23373.9
32991.0
Blue5
10751.4
21692.2
25831.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions740101520105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#19
3.90.2
3.7→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
2169
#17
2.20.0
2.2→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2041
#28
2.80.2
2.4→2.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
1075
#68
1.40.0
1.4→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3299
#66
1.00.2
0.8→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.3
2583
#78
1.30.0
1.3→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—