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Red9
1115.0
5372.7
31451.2
Blue5
32711.6
1911.7
8303.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66248101295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
5.00.1
3.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
830
#18
3.80.1
3.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
537
#40
2.70.1
1.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
191
#63
1.70.1
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3145
#61
1.20.2
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3271
#31
1.60.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End