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Red4
28651.2
13341.4
19122.7
Blue8
32711.6
24102.9
17641.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5524681048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#27
2.70.1
2.62.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2410
#41
2.90.1
2.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1334
#80
1.40.1
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1764
#26
1.90.1
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2865
#84
1.20.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3271
#31
1.60.1
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End