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Red5
2881.6
5971.9
1152.5
Blue12
883.6
12511.8
20412.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5601015202530512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#22
2.50.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
88
#20
3.60.3
3.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
597
#60
1.90.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2041
#28
2.80.3
1.82.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
288
#47
1.60.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1251
#42
1.80.3
1.21.6
Auto
Teleop
End