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Red3
32711.6
31861.3
1411.2
Blue5
3684.1
25831.3
2960.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions460510152035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3271
#31
1.60.0
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
368
#15
4.10.0
3.93.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3186
#74
1.30.0
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2583
#78
1.30.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
141
#81
1.20.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
296
#82
0.20.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End