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Red8
1911.7
8161.9
26124.2
Blue9
16764.7
13500.7
21692.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions780510152089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4.20.0
3.53.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4.70.1
4.74.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
816
#65
1.90.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2169
#17
2.20.1
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
191
#63
1.70.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1350
#76
0.70.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End