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Qual 972010 Curie Division
Red8
12511.8
19864.6
32071.2
Blue1
26302.5
2231.0
3401.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions760510152081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#3
4.60.0
4.4→4.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.2
2630
#36
2.50.3
2.9→2.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1251
#42
1.80.0
1.4→1.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
340
#79
1.10.3
1.8→1.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3207
#58
1.20.0
1.3→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
223
#67
1.00.3
1.5→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—