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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.0
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3355
#29
0.60.4
0.60.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1785
#23
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3240
#41
0.30.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3005
#13
1.00.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3409
#47
0.10.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End