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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12034567815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#14
1.50.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1.70.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1723
#18
0.60.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3353
#10
1.40.8
1.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3366
#39
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1785
#23
1.10.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End