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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12034567802

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
0.80.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1785
#23
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2965
#27
0.80.1
0.1-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3037
#34
0.40.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2995
#36
0.00.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2283
#35
0.20.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End