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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2024681023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
647
#30
0.90.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2735
#25
0.50.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3384
#33
0.60.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2948
#28
0.40.2
0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2985
#44
0.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3240
#41
0.30.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End