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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21023456710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2080
#22
1.30.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1817
#40
1.10.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2936
#19
1.00.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3350
#26
0.60.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2864
#32
0.50.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3282
#52
0.10.1
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End