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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20134567801

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
647
#30
0.90.2
1.31.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2947
#46
0.10.0
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2283
#35
0.20.2
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3043
#49
0.00.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3369
#43
0.10.2
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2747
#51
-0.20.0
0.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End