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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3353
#10
1.40.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1108
#21
1.00.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3366
#39
0.30.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2897
#24
0.80.2
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3409
#47
0.10.1
0.0-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3037
#34
0.40.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End