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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130234567801

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2841
#17
1.00.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2352
#14
1.50.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2947
#46
0.10.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
418
#42
0.40.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3409
#47
0.10.1
-0.1-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2985
#44
0.30.1
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End