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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12012345602

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3355
#29
0.60.1
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
647
#30
0.90.0
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2843
#38
0.30.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1723
#18
0.60.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2805
#50
0.10.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3282
#52
0.10.0
0.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End