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Red7
31231.3
17272.0
1760.8
Blue5
3461.5
14181.0
23771.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44356775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.00.1
1.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
346
#17
1.50.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.30.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2377
#12
1.30.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
176
#25
0.80.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1.00.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End