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Red1
31231.3
17272.0
1760.8
Blue0
7011.0
26410.8
10241.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions430268101210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.00.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1024
#19
1.50.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.30.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
701
#34
1.00.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
176
#25
0.80.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2641
#10
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End