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Quarterfinal 2-32010 Washington DC Regional
Red5
20680.6
4490.1
29121.5
Blue4
33730.8
452.1
18290.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2912
#5
1.50.1
1.4→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.6
45
#6
2.10.0
2.1→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2068
#38
0.60.1
0.5→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.2
3373
#33
0.80.0
0.8→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
449
#46
0.10.1
0.0→0.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
1829
#58
0.20.0
0.1→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—