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Red2
31231.3
25340.3
2070.9
Blue0
15290.4
4490.1
33730.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2104681020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.30.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3373
#33
0.80.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
207
#13
0.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1529
#57
0.40.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2534
#49
0.30.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
449
#46
0.10.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End