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Red1
2070.9
24210.6
29140.2
Blue0
3150-0.2
25340.3
6110.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046810121410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#13
0.90.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
611
#41
0.50.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2421
#42
0.60.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2534
#49
0.30.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2914
#43
0.20.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3150
#59
-0.20.4
-0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End