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Red5
29130.5
19000.8
31231.3
Blue2
32790.2
31540.6
6201.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2101234552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.30.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
620
#21
1.00.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1900
#35
0.80.3
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3154
#16
0.60.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2913
#26
0.50.3
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3279
#44
0.20.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End