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Red5
10241.5
33730.8
6230.7
Blue1
28190.5
7681.2
18851.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1204681051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#19Sur
1.50.3
0.91.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1885
#20
1.20.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3373
#33
0.80.3
0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
768
#23
1.20.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
623
#40
0.70.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2819
#45
0.50.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End