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Red1
20100.6
11230.2
6230.7
Blue4
2070.9
29121.5
18490.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21034567814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#40
0.70.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1.50.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
207
#13
0.90.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1123
#31
0.20.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1849
#28
0.60.2
-0.00.2
Auto
Teleop
End