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Red3
4490.1
29130.5
23771.3
Blue2
1160.5
29000.9
15290.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#12
1.30.1
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2900
#27
0.90.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2913
#26
0.50.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
116
#52
0.50.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
449
#46
0.10.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1529
#57
0.40.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End