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Red5
31540.6
33400.8
11111.2
Blue3
3461.5
29620.1
33730.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21013456753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.20.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
346
#17
1.50.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3340
#15
0.80.3
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3373
#33
0.80.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3154
#16
0.60.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2962
#39
0.10.1
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End