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Red4
17120.8
29121.5
18851.2
Blue1
29140.2
4490.1
23630.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21013456741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.50.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2363
#32
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1885
#20
1.20.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2914
#43
0.20.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1712
#22
0.80.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
449
#46
0.10.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End